Sunday, September 2, 2012

The International Grand Finals: Na'Vi vs. iG Game 3 Summary



The International Grand Finals: iG vs. Na'Vi Game 2 Summary



The International Grand Finals: Na'Vi vs. iG Game 1 Summary

The International Main Event: LGD vs. iG Lower Bracket Finals Game 3 Summary


The International Main Event: LGD vs. iG Lower Bracket Finals Game 2 Summary



The International Main Event: iG vs. LGD Lower Bracket Finals Game 1 Summary


The International Main Event: LGD vs. Na'Vi Upper Bracket Semi-Finals Game 3 Summary


The International Main Event: LGD vs. Na'Vi Upper Bracket Semi-Finals Game 2 Summary



The International Main Event: LGD vs. Na'Vi Upper Bracket Semi-Finals Game 1 Summary



The International Main Event: DK vs. iG Lower Bracket Semi-Finals Game 3 Summary



The International Main Event: DK vs. iG Lower Bracket Semi-Finals Game 2 Summary



The International Main Event: DK vs. iG Lower Bracket Semi-Finals Game 1 Summary



The International Main Event: DK vs. Zenith Lower Bracket Game Summary



The International Main Event: EHome vs. iG Lower Bracket Game Summary



Saturday, September 1, 2012

The International Main Event: EHome vs. Orange Lower Bracket Game Summary

This may have been the most entertaining game of the tournament so far.

The International Main Event: iG vs. Na'Vi Upper Bracket Game 3 Summary



The International Main Event: iG vs. Na'Vi Upper Bracket Game 2 Summary



The International Main Event: iG vs. Na'Vi Upper Bracket Game 1 Summary



The International Main Event: LGD vs. Zenith Upper Bracket Game 3 Summary


The International Main Event: LGD vs. Zenith Upper Bracket Game 2 Summary



The International Main Event: LGD vs. Zenith Upper Bracket Game 1 Summary



The International Main Event Lower Bracket: Darer vs. DK Game Summary



The International Main Event Lower Bracket: EG vs. TongFu Game Summary



The International Main Event Lower Bracket: EHome vs. coL Game Summary



The International Main Event Lower Bracket: CLG vs. Orange Game Summary



The International Main Event Lower Bracket: Moscow 5 vs. TongFu Game Summary



The International Main Event Lower Bracket: aL vs. Darer Game Summary



Friday, August 31, 2012

The International Main Event Lower Bracket: EHome vs. Mouz Game Summary



The International Lower Bracket: CLG vs. mTw



The International Main Event: DK vs. Na'Vi Upper Bracket Game 3 Summary



The International Main Event: DK vs. Na'Vi Upper Bracket Game 2 Summary



The International Main Event: DK vs. Na'Vi Upper Bracket Game 1 Summary



The International Main Event: EG vs. iG Upper Bracket Game 3 Summary



The International Main Event: EG vs. iG Upper Bracket Game 2 Summary



The International Main Event: EG vs. iG Upper Bracket Game 1 Summary



The International Main Event: coL vs. Zenith Upper Bracket Game 3 Summary

Game summary after the jump.

The International Main Event: Zenith vs. coL Upper Bracket Game 2 Summary


Game summary after the jump.

The International Main Event: coL vs. Zenith Upper Bracket Game 1 Summary

Game summary from the second upper bracket match up after the jump.

The International Main Event: LGD vs. Orange Upper Bracket Game 3 Summary

Game summary after the jump.

The International Main Event: LGD vs. Orange Upper Bracket Game 2 Summary


Summary of game two of Orange vs. LGD after the jump.

The International Main Event: LGD vs. Orange Upper Bracket Game 1 Summary


Summary of the opening match of The International main event after the jump.

How to read the Item Tables

One of the tables included in my game summaries is a table summarizing who bought which items, when they bought them, and how well they used them. This page is about how to read the table. Some caveats on the item data. I ignore some of the minor items--such as clarity, tango etc-- and I am unable to get data on some of the bigger items in some cases so the list is not always complete.

This data ONLY INCLUDES EFFECTS ON OR AGAINST HEROES. For example, when I show the total Radiance burn damage done by the Lone Druid, it is only damage done against enemy heroes and does not include damage to neutrals, creeps, etc. There are some exceptions for this for items that are not used on heroes (such as Hand of Midas, Boots of Travel etc),

The game time for when the items were purchased is approximate. In some cases the game time is the first time the item was used. This is not a big deal for items like Radiance, as they are used very shortly after being purchased. However for items like BKB, the item may not be used for a few minutes after it is purchased. If the item is listed in the Event Log table, that is the exact time the item was purchased.

The remaining columns are item specific. There are six columns: Times Used, Total Effect, Avg Effect, Times Used Other, Total Effect Other, Avg Effect Other. Avg Effect is almost always Total Effect divided by Times Used. In alphabetical order let's go through each item. If the item is not included in this list, then I am not tracking its usage but am tracking when it is purchased.

Wednesday, August 29, 2012

The International Group Stage: iG vs. mTw Game Summary



The International Group Stage: coL vs. Darer Game Summary



The International Group Stage: CLG vs. EG Game 2 Summary



The International Group Stage: LGD vs. Mouz Game 2 Summary



The International Group Stage: aL vs. Zenith Game 2 Summary



The International Group Stage: CLG vs. EG Game 1 Summary



The International Group Stage: LGD vs. Mouz Game 1 Summary



The International Group Stage: aL vs. Zenith Game 1 Summary



The International Group Stage: coL vs. Orange Game Summary



The International Group Stage: Darer vs. EHome Game 2 Summary



The International Group Stage: iG vs. TongFu Game 2 Summary



The International Group Stage: Darer vs. EHome Game 1 Summary



The International Group Stage: mTw vs. Na'Vi Game Summary



The International Group Stage: CLG vs. DK Game Summary



The International Group Stage: iG vs. TongFu Game 1 Summary



The International Group Stage: Mouz vs. Zenith Game Summary



The International Group Stage: EHome vs. mTw Game 2 Summary



The International Group Stage: coL vs. TongFu Game 2 Summary



The International Group Stage: aL vs. LGD Game Summary



The International Group Stage: EHome vs. mTw Game 1 Summary



The International Group Stage: iG vs. Orange Game 2 Summary



The International Group Stage: coL vs. TongFu Game 1 Summary



The International Group Stage: Darer vs. Na'Vi Game 2 Summary



The International Group Stage: iG vs. Orange Game 1 Summary



The International Group Stage: Darer vs. Na'Vi Game 1 Summary



The International Group Stage: aL vs. DK Game 2 Summary



The International Group Stage: EG vs. Mouz Game Summary



The International Group Stage: CLG vs. LGD Game 2 Summary




The International Group Stage: aL vs. DK Game 1 Summary



The International Group Stage: Moscow 5 vs. Zenith Game 2 Summary



The International Group Stage: CLG vs. LGD Game 1 Summary



The International Group Stage: Moscow 5 vs. Zenith Game 1 Summary



The International Group Stage: Na'Vi vs. Orange Game 2 Summary



The International Group Stage: EHome vs. TongFu Game 2 Summary



The International Group Stage: coL vs. mTw Game 2 Summary



The International Group Stage: Darer vs. iG Game 2 Summary



The International Group Stage: Na'Vi vs. Orange Game 1 Summary


The International Group Stage: coL vs. mTw Game 1 Summary



The International Group Stage: EHome vs. TongFu Game 1 Summary



The International Group Stage: Darer vs. iG Game 1 Summary



The International Group Stage: CLG vs. Zenith Game 2 Summary



The International Group Stage: aL vs. EG Game 2 Summary



The International Group Stage: DK vs. Mouz Game 2 Summary



The International Group Stage: LGD vs. M5 Game 2 Summary



The International Group Stage: CLG vs. Zenith Game 1 Summary



The International Group Stage: LGD vs. M5 Game 1 Summary

The International Group Stage: DK vs. Mouz Game 1 Summary

The International Group Stage: aL vs. EG Game 1 Summary



The International Group Stage: Darer vs. mTw Game 2 Summary



The International Group Stage: EHome vs. Na'Vi Game 2 Summary



The International Group Stage: EHome vs. Na'Vi Game 1 Summary



The International Group Stage: Orange vs. TongFu Game Summary



The International Group Stage: Darer vs. mTw Game 1 Summary



The International Group Stage: coL vs. iG Game 2 Summary



Tuesday, August 28, 2012

The International Group Stage: coL vs. iG Game 1 Summary



The International Group Stage: Moscow 5 vs. Mouz Game 2



The International Group Stage: Orange vs. TongFu Game 1 Summary



The International Group Stage: EG vs. Zenith Game 1 Summary



The International Group Stage: Moscow 5 vs. Mouz Game 1 Summary



The International Group Stage: DK vs. LGD Game 2 Summary



The International Group Stage: DK vs. LGD Game 1 Summary


Game summary after the jump.

The International Group Stage: aL vs. CLG Game 2 Summary


Game summary after the jump.

The International Group Stage: coL vs. Na'Vi Game 2 Summary


Game summary after the jump.

The International Group Stage: aL vs. CLG Game 1 Summary


Game summary after the jump.

The International Group Stage: mTw vs. Orange Game 2 Summary


Game summary after the jump.

The International Group Stage: coL vs. Na'Vi Game 1 Summary


Game summary after the jump.

The International Group Stage: EHome vs. iG Game 1 Summary


Game summary after the jump.

The International Group Stage: mTw vs. Orange Game 1 Summary

Game summary after the jump.

The International Group Stage: Darer vs. TongFu Game 2


Game summary after the jump.

The International Group Stage: DK vs. Zenith Game 2 Summary


Game summary after the jump.

The International Group Stage: EG vs. LGD Game 2 Summary


Game summary after the jump.

The International Group Stage: Darer vs. TongFu Game 1 Summary


Game summary after the jump.

The International Group Stage: EG vs. LGD Game 1 Summary

Game summary after the jump.

The International Group Stage: CLG vs. Mouz Game 2 Summary


Game summary after the jump.

The International Group Stage: DK vs. Zenith Game 1 Summary


Game summary after the jump.

The International Group Stage: aL vs. Moscow 5 Game 2

Game summary after the jump.

The International Group Stage: CLG vs. Mouz Game 1 Summary

Game summary after the jump.

The International Group Stage: aL vs. Moscow 5 Game 1 Summary


Game summary after the jump.

The International Group Stage: Darer vs. Orange Game 2 Summary

Game summary after the jump.

The International Group Stage: coL vs. EHome Game 2 Summary

Game summary after the jump.

The International Group Stage: iG vs. Na'Vi Game 2 Summary

Game recap after the jump.

Monday, August 27, 2012

Sunday, August 26, 2012

The International Group Stage: DK vs. EG Game 2 Summary

Summary of Game 2 of  DK vs. EG after the jump.

The International Group Stage: aL vs. Mouz Game 2 Summary

Summary of aL vs. Mouz Game 2 after the jump.

The International Group Stage: CLG vs. Moscow 5 Game 2 Summary

Summary of Game 2 of CLG vs. Moscow 5 after the jump.

The International Group Stage: Zenith vs. LGD Game 2 Summary

Summary of LGD vs. Zenith Game 2 after the jump.

The International Group Stage: DK vs. EG Game 1 Summary

Summary of Game 1 of DK vs. EG after the jump.

The International Group Stage: Zenith vs. LGD Game 1

Summary of Game 1 between Zenith and LGD after the jump.

The International Group Stage: CLG vs. Moscow 5 Game 1

Summary of the M5 vs. CLG Game 1 after the jump.

The International Group Stage: Mouz vs. aL Game 1

Summary of Game 1 of Mouz vs. aL after the jump.

The International: Play-In Game 3 Mouz vs. World Elite Recap

I've got to get some sleep soon. Need to wake up early for more International action. Still this Mouz vs. WE game isn't going to summarize itself.

Saturday, August 25, 2012

The International: Play-In Game 2 Mouz vs. World Elite Recap

More Mouz vs. WE action. Man I feel pretty bad for MUFC. Not being able to compete because one person lost their passport... ug that has to sting. Anyway here is a recap of Mouz vs. WE in game 2 of the Play-In.

The International: Play-In Game 1 Mouz vs. World Elite Recap

Huzzah! The International 2 is here! Up first is the Play-In best of 5 match between Mouz and World Elite. Here's a summary and some various stats for your enjoyment. I'll start with some tables and finish with some graphs and charts.

New Addition: Dota 2 Chat Log Summary and When Certain Items Purchased

Another thing I'll be adding to my Dota 2 International recaps, the chat log. This is only the all chat log as the team chat logs are not available on the replays. It would be cool if the team chats and spectator chats were available, but unfortunately at this time they are not.



Game Time Name Chat Message
-5.5 Epi: hello?
-5.4 Epi: is anybody in here?
-4.9 mouz Black^For my shining STAR: need 30 min
-4.9 mouz Black^For my shining STAR: bamboe pc
-4.8 mouz 1437: cwm game crashed
-4.8 mouz Black^For my shining STAR: j/k
-2.2 CLG.Pajkatt: dota?
-1.8 mouz cwm / pumpkin: g
-1.8 mouz Black^For my shining STAR: go dota
-1.7 mouz SingSing: SORRY MATT
-1.4 CLG.LacosteYOLO: gg hf
36.1 CLG.MiSeRY: GAME WAS GOOD
36.1 CLG.LacosteYOLO: gg wp gratz
36.1 mouz Black^For my shining STAR: gg wp
36.2 CLG.MiSeRY: GL FURTHER
36.2 mouz SingSing: gg wp
36.2 mouz Black^For my shining STAR: ty
36.2 mouz Bamboe: GG
36.3 mouz 1437: GG
36.3 mouz cwm / pumpkin: gg
36.7 CLG.Akke: gg
36.7 CLG.Miracle-: gg
36.9 mouz Black^For my shining STAR: gg wp

Okay this is a partial list of certain items that were bought and approximately when they were purchased. Not as complete or as accurate as I would like but it is the best that I can do with the current limitations of the DEM parser.



Player Hero Item Game Time (Approx.)
CLG.Akke Enchantress Ring of Basilius 8.0
CLG.LacosteYOLO Shadow_demon Magic Wand 12.2
CLG.LacosteYOLO Shadow_demon Urn of Shadows 20.0
CLG.LacosteYOLO Shadow_demon Drums 26.6
CLG.MiSeRY Windrunner Bottle 2.2
CLG.MiSeRY Windrunner Phase Boots 5.8
CLG.MiSeRY Windrunner Headdress 10.5
CLG.MiSeRY Windrunner Mekanism 16.4
CLG.Pajkatt Rubick Bottle 1.5
CLG.Pajkatt Rubick Magic Wand 12.2
CLG.Pajkatt Rubick Force Staff 20.5
mouz 1437 Venomancer Magic Wand 19.8
mouz 1437 Venomancer Headdress 26.3
mouz 1437 Venomancer Mekanism 31.8
mouz Bamboe Broodmother Soul Ring 3.9
mouz Bamboe Broodmother Orchid 18.2
mouz Bamboe Broodmother Magic Wand 28.0
mouz Bamboe Broodmother BKB 35.8
mouz Black^For my sh Queenofpain Bottle 2.8
mouz Black^For my sh Queenofpain Magic Wand 12.3
mouz Black^For my sh Queenofpain Sheepstick 26.6
mouz Black^For my sh Queenofpain BKB 35.3
mouz cwm / pumpkin Furion Hand of Midas 9.9
mouz cwm / pumpkin Furion Magic Wand 12.2
mouz cwm / pumpkin Furion Sheepstick 34.4
mouz SingSing Puck Bottle 3.6
mouz SingSing Puck Magic Wand 12.1
mouz SingSing Puck Force Staff 27.5

Tuesday, August 21, 2012

Game Recap: Mouz vs. coL -- The Defense Final Game 4

Yeah, yeah, I'm a little late on this but hopefully you'll be interested on what I've been working on. I put together a variety of graphs, stats, and summaries which should be ready in time for the International. I'm still trying to work the kinks out but my various programs should be up and running just in time for the International. You can overdose on VoDs and also come here and check out some info on some of the matches you may have missed. Here's what I have in store for you:

Monday, August 20, 2012

Dota 2: 2012 Team Earnings

Here is an updated list of the top earners this year in Dota 2. This is current through August 19th, 2012. After the International, we'll see some big changes in the Team Earnings.

Wednesday, August 8, 2012

Updated Event Log and Combat Summary Tables

I added more to the tables and upgraded my coding. New additions:
  • added kill score and towers remaining columns to the event log ( so you can get a sense of who is winning )
  • added event for courier kill
  • added event for tower deny
  • event log now distinguishes between position of tower (top, bot, mid)
  • event log now distinguishes between which barracks was destroyed
  • if target killed has Aegis, no longer says target killed but that Aegis was removed
  • further refined Game Time
To do:
  • I would like better formatting. There is a package in R that I am going to learn that would help with this.
  • Kills that are split by team may have to be coded a little differently. I need to find and analyze more of these types of kills.
Pub game example after the jump.

Saturday, August 4, 2012

The Defense: PotM Bottom vs. Na'Vi -- Game 2 Recap

I started writing about Dota because I want to do some analysis of the professional scene and hopefully add something to the Dota community. My first minor project consists of three things, two of which are shown below.

After the jump there is some information from the game two PotM Bottom vs. Na'Vi match up in the Defense. My third item is more about gold and farming. When I have these three things complete (and after I get back from my vacation in a couple of weeks), I'll turn my attention back to using these tools to analyse more Dota 2 games and regularly updating the blog. Let me know if you would like any changers or additional info

Saturday, July 21, 2012

Dota 2 Match Recap: Na'Vi vs. Quantic

Na'Vi and Quantic squared off on Saturday, July 21st in the Defense: Season 2 upper bracket to play a best of three. I summarized the matches after the jump.

Dota 2 Matches: Sunday, July 22nd

See below for more information on upcoming matches in the professional Dota 2 scene.

Tournament: The Defense: Season 2

Caster: TobiWan
Match Stream

Friday, July 20, 2012

Match Recap: DK vs. mousesports

Teams: DK vs. mousesports
Tournament: BTS World Tour - Group Stage Game 2
VOD:


Dota 2 Matches: Saturday, July 21st

Dota 2 action for Saturday, July 21st. The Defense upper bracket continues with three great matches and up to 9 total games. Pace yourself Tobi...


[UPDATED: Looks like mouz vs. M5 has been postponed]


Teams: Orange.eSports vs. DK
Tournament: IG Monthly Madness Asia #1 - Quarter Final
Time: 10:30 AM EST
Stream: Match Stream


The winner plays Zenith, who advanced over World Elite, in next week's semi-finals (tentatively scheduled for July 28th). This is a best of three. DK is favored 68% to 32% in GosuGamer.net's betting.


Teams: mousesports vs. Moscow 5
Tournament: The Defense -- Season #2
Time: 1 PM EST
Stream: Match Stream


This is an upper bracket, first round match in the Defense. The winner goes on to play the winner of mTw vs. CLG while the loser drops into the lower bracket. This is a best of three. Can M5 avenge its defeat in the StarLadder finals in Kiev? Will we get to see more of Bamboe's Templar Assassin? M5 is favored 58% to 42%.


Teams: mTw vs. CLG
Tournament: The Defense -- Season #2
Time: 4 PM EST
Stream: Match Stream


This is an upper bracket, first round match in the Defense. The winner goes on to play the winner of mousesports vs. M5 while the loser drops into the lower bracket. This is a best of three. CLG is favored 76% to 24%.


Teams: Quantic vs. Na'Vi
Tournament: The Defense -- Season #2
Time: 6 PM EST
Stream: Match Stream


I am not too confident in the time, as this only allows 2 hours for mTw vs. CLG to finish a best of three. Regardless this another upper bracket, first round match in the Defense. The winner goes on to play Complexity Gaming while the loser drops into the lower bracket. This is a best of three. Looks like TobiWan is going overtime with the casting tomorrow. Na'Vi is favored 87% to 13%.

Thursday, July 19, 2012

How to Improve The International

The International is a great tournament. The $1,600,000 prize pool in 2011 made for some entertaining high-stakes matches. As a Dota 2 fan, I am looking forward to the 2012 version. I appreciate Valve running and sponsoring such a great tournament. However there is some room for improvement. The main problems with The International are how teams are selected, the short time frame of the event, and the relative dominance of The International's prize pool. A few minor changes in the event could greatly help improve the competitive Dota 2 scene.

Dota 2 Matches: 7-20-12

Dota 2 action for Friday July 20th.


Teams: World Elite vs. Zenith
Tournament: IG Monthly Madness Asia #1 - Quarter Final
Time: 8 AM EST
Stream: Match Stream

Monthly Madness Asia continues with Zenith versus World Elite. This is a best of three. The winner goes on to play the winner of DK vs. Orange eSports on July 28th. GosuGamers.net betters are heavily betting Zenith--98% to 2%.


Teams: Mousesports vs. MUFC
Tournament: BTS World Tour - Group Stage
Time: 9 AM EST
Stream: Match Stream

This is the first match in Group D. The BTS World Tour is a tournament to keep an eye on. Despite only having a $1,000 total prize purse the tournament has 14 of the 16 teams scheduled to appear at the International (mTw and Na'Vi are the two teams not participating). GosuGamers.net betters are favoring Mousesports at 81% to 19%. This is a best of three.


Teams: Mousesports vs. DK
Tournament: BTS World Tour - Group Stage
Time: 12 PM EST
Stream: Match Stream

Mousesports plays its second game in Group D while DK plays its first. The fourth team in this group is iG. GosuGamers.net betting is relatively even with Mousesports getting a slight 54% to 46% edge. This is a best of three.


Teams: PotM Bottom vs. Empire
Tournament: The Defense Season 2 - Loserbracket Preliminary
Time: 3 PM EST
Stream: Match Stream

The Defense Season 2 elimination phase continues with this best of three. The loser of this match is eliminated from the tournament while the winner goes on to face one of the losing teams from the winner's bracket (the rules on The Defense website do not make the clear which team this is). Empire is heavily favored in the betting at 94% to 6%. What unique build will PotM Bottom's Aui come up with for this match?

Wednesday, July 18, 2012

Dota 2: Money Leaders

Edit: updated list: http://costaguanan.blogspot.com/2012/08/dota-2-2012-earnings.html

I compiled the information on dota2wiki.com's tournament information into some team money leaders tables. Some caveats: I only looked at the tournaments and leagues that have a first place prize of $1,000 or more, I converted all non-US dollar prizes into USD, and the dota2wiki.com page may be missing some tournaments so this list may not be complete. I'll try to update this periodically and check to see if I missed any tournaments.

Tuesday, July 17, 2012

Dota 2: The Defense Season 2 Drafts

For those interested in Dota 2 and in particular joinDOTA.com's The Defense: Season 2 tournament, here is some info on the hero drafts. I charted the drafts from the Defense Group Stage. I was able to get complete draft data on 56 of the 60 matches. I believe 2 matches were forfeits (EG vs. Infused and Hydra vs. 4FC). The other two did not have any record of a recorded draft on Dota TV or on the video replay (coL vs. Hydra and POTM Bottom vs. CLG).

Sunday, April 8, 2012

FanGraphs.com 2012 Org Rankings

FanGraphs.com is doing its annual ranking of the organizations in Major League Baseball. I thought I would make some star plots. This year I'm going to try doing the plots a little differently.

Tuesday, March 13, 2012

Final Fantasy Tactics Version .75

New version available here for download. This basic C++ version of Final Fantasy Tactics tries to faithfully follow the game's mechanics using minimal graphics.

-- Tips on How to Play --
  • Three text files will be generated in the folder that you keep the game. Open these text files to see the map, the Active Turn Menu, and the Player Stats menu. The game will update these files after/during every turn but you cannot see changes until you close them and open them up again.
  • To play against someone, you'll have to use the share screen feature on Skype (free to use) or some other screen sharing service.
  • For further understanding of the game's abilities use Aerostar's Battle Mechanics Guide.

3/13/12 Game Notes:
  • Added quick start feature for faster character selection.
  • Tested and refined reaction, support, and movement abilities.
  • Added weapon status effects and elemental effects.
  • Added collision effects to ranged weapons, throw etc.
  • Players can no longer move past enemies.
  • Added Berserk and Confusion AI.

Tuesday, March 6, 2012

New Final Fantasy Tactics Version

Updated version available here. 

Notes:

  • All classes implemented
  • Most class abilities tested
  • All reaction/support/movement abilities implemented
  • All equipment in the game
  • 2 vs. 2

Sunday, February 26, 2012

Final Fantasy Tactics in C++

I learned how to program in C++ recently. I thought it would be interesting to try to recreate the PlayStation game Final Fantasy Tactics in its most basic form. Click here to download it to give the beta version a try.

The graphics are incredibly basic but the mechanics are solid and faithfully try to follow the game's mechanics. I have most of the classes and abilities implemented but still need to do a lot of testing on them.

Friday, January 6, 2012

2011 NFL Playoffs: Are the Patriots Better Off as a #1 or #2 Seed?

I'm a fan of the New England Patriots. During the past few weeks it became clear that the Patriots were going to be in the NFL playoffs as either the #1 or #2 seed. I've heard opinions expressed both ways as to which seed is preferable. Some argued that the #1 seed is better as it means home field advantage throughout the playoffs while others argued that the #2 seed was preferable as the Patriots would likely avoid playing the strong #5 seed in the 2nd round (Baltimore or Pittsburgh) followed by playing the #2 seed in the 3rd round (Baltimore or Pittsburgh). So do the Patriots have a better chance of making the Super Bowl being the #1 or #2 seed?