Saturday, August 28, 2010

Aging Curves in Basketball

The NBA offseason raised a few questions. In order to answer these questions I need to do a little research and figure out a few things. One of these things is an aging curve for basketball players. What is their prime? What rate do they decline after that prime? Luckily this question has been asked and answered in baseball so I can use their methodology and apply it to basketball.

For data, I went to www.basketball-reference.com and pulled the advanced data for players from the 2000-2001 season through the 2009-2010 season (the seasons from the last collective bargaining agreement). My methodology follows the work of TangoTiger and MGL, particularly this article written by MGL. I will try to briefly summarize the methodology. MGL offers a much clearer explanation so I recommend reading that article first.